Where the market is wrong on Anderlecht v Kairat Almaty
Anderlecht meet Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa League play-offs at Lotto Park, Anderlecht.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 65%. Attacking output favors Kairat Almaty on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Anderlecht arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Union St. Gilloise, W 3-0 v Kairat Almaty, W 3-0 @ Kairat Almaty, L 0-1 @ SK Beveren.
Kairat Almaty are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Yelimay Semey, L 0-3 @ Anderlecht, L 0-3 v Anderlecht, W 3-1 v Ulytau.
Anderlecht hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Anderlecht 3-0 Kairat Almaty.
The market prices AND at 69% implied. Our number sits apart on Kairat Almaty: a 28.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
