Atalanta v Hapoel Tel Aviv: the model read
Atalanta meet Hapoel Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round at New Balance Arena, Bergamo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Atalanta, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Atalanta on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Atalanta at 56%; double chance reads Atalanta or draw 70%, Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw 62%.
Atalanta arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 5 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Bologna, W 1-0 @ Hapoel Tel Aviv, W 2-1 v Sassuolo, D 0-0 v Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Hapoel Tel Aviv are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Hapoel Haifa, L 0-1 v Atalanta, D 0-0 @ Atalanta, W 2-1 @ Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
Atalanta hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Atalanta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
