Where the market is wrong on Al Tadhamon v Al Salmiyah
Al Tadhamon meet Al Salmiyah in the Premier League regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Salmiyah, 58% against 42%. Attacking output favors Al Salmiyah on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Al Tadhamon arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al Salmiyah, L 1-3 v Kazma, L 1-3 v Al Shabab, D 1-1 v Al Nasar.
Al Salmiyah are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Al Tadhamon, L 1-2 v Al Nasar, L 0-3 @ Kazma, W 1-0 v Al Arabi.
Al Salmiyah hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Tadhamon 0-2 Al Salmiyah.
The market prices AL at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Tadhamon: a 7.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
