Where the market is wrong on Bhayangkara FC v Persebaya Surabaya
Bhayangkara FC meet Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 regular season - 1 at Sumpah Pemuda, Bandar Lampung.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Persebaya Surabaya, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors Bhayangkara FC on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.
Bhayangkara FC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Persebaya Surabaya, W 7-0 v PSBS Biak Numfor, L 1-4 @ Bali United, W 3-1 v Persepam Madura Utd.
Persebaya Surabaya are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Bhayangkara FC, D 1-1 @ Persib Bandung, W 1-0 v Arema FC, W 2-1 v Port FC.
The market prices BHA at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Persebaya Surabaya: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
