Where the market is wrong on ES Zarzis v Diambars
ES Zarzis meet Diambars in the CAF Confederation Cup 1st preliminary round at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, Sfax.
ES Zarzis rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans ES Zarzis, 55% against 28%. Attacking output favors ES Zarzis on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
ES Zarzis arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Diambars, L 1-2 @ CS Sfaxien, W 1-0 v Olympique Béja, L 0-1 v ES Tunis.
Diambars are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ ES Zarzis, L 0-2 v Génération Foot, L 2-7 @ DSC, W 2-1 v Guédiawaye.
ES Zarzis hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ES Zarzis 3-1 Diambars.
The market prices ES at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Diambars: a 12.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
