Machico v Camacha: the model read
Machico meet Camacha in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Machico, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Machico on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Machico arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Camacha, W 2-0 @ Beira-Mar, D 0-0 v Estrela Calheta, D 0-0 @ Maritimo.
Camacha are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Machico, W 2-1 @ Alpendorada, D 1-1 v Salgueiros, L 0-2 @ Maritimo.
Camacha hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Machico 2-2 Camacha.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
