SC Covilha v Mortágua: the model read
SC Covilha meet Mortágua in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mortágua, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Mortágua on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
SC Covilha arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Mortágua, L 0-3 v Atlético CP, D 0-0 @ Vitória de Sernache, W 2-0 v União Santarém.
Mortágua are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ SC Covilha, W 3-1 @ Sertanense, W 3-1 v Nazarenos, W 2-1 v Eléctrico.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: SC Covilha 0-0 Mortágua.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
