Where the market is wrong on Esteghlal Khuzestan v Nassaji Mazandaran
Esteghlal Khuzestan meet Nassaji Mazandaran in the Persian Gulf Pro League regular season - 3 at Ghadir Stadium, Ahvaz.
Nassaji Mazandaran rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1565 to 1400. Recent form leans Nassaji Mazandaran, 58% against 32%. Attacking output favors Nassaji Mazandaran on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Nassaji Mazandaran at 69%; double chance reads Esteghlal Khuzestan or draw 55%, Nassaji Mazandaran or draw 79%.
Esteghlal Khuzestan arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Nassaji Mazandaran, L 1-4 @ Persepolis FC, L 0-2 v Aluminium Arak, L 1-3 @ Sepahan FC.
Nassaji Mazandaran are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Esteghlal Khuzestan, L 0-1 v Esteghlal FC, L 0-1 @ Gol Gohar, L 1-2 v Ario Eslamshahr.
Nassaji Mazandaran hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran.
The market prices EST at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Nassaji Mazandaran: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
