Where the market is wrong on Al Ahly v Enppi
Al Ahly meet Enppi in the Premier League regular season - 1 at Cairo International Stadium, Cairo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Ahly, 61% against 48%. Attacking output favors Al Ahly on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Al Ahly at 59%; double chance reads Al Ahly or draw 72%, Enppi or draw 59%.
Al Ahly arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Enppi, L 1-2 @ Barcelona, W 2-0 @ AL Masry, W 3-0 v Enppi.
Enppi are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Wadi Degla, L 2-3 @ Al Ahly, L 0-3 v AL Masry, W 1-0 @ Wadi Degla.
Al Ahly hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Ahly 3-2 Enppi.
The market prices AL at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Enppi: a 15.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
