Where the market is wrong on Casertana v Team Altamura
Casertana meet Team Altamura in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 5 at Stadio Alberto Pinto, Caserta.
Casertana rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1420. Recent form leans Casertana, 65% against 38%. Attacking output favors Casertana on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.7 per match.
Casertana arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Team Altamura, W 3-2 @ Inter U23, D 2-2 v Scafatese, W 2-1 @ Savoia.
Team Altamura are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Casertana, L 0-3 v Bari, L 0-2 v Savoia, D 2-2 v Sambenedettese.
The market prices CAS at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Team Altamura: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
