Where the market is wrong on Pineto v Forli
Pineto meet Forli in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 5 at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Forli on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Pineto arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Forli, W 2-1 v Sambenedettese, L 1-2 @ Perugia, D 0-0 v Livorno.
Forli are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Pineto, W 2-1 v Vis Pesaro, L 0-2 @ Latina, L 1-2 @ Ravenna.
The market prices PIN at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Forli: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
