Where the market is wrong on SV Lafnitz v Kalsdorf
SV Lafnitz meet Kalsdorf in the Regionalliga - South south - 5 at Sportplatz Lafnitz, Lafnitz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SV Lafnitz, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors SV Lafnitz on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
SV Lafnitz arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Kalsdorf, W 3-1 @ Gleisdorf 09, L 1-3 v Tillmitsch, D 2-2 @ Hartberg (Am).
Kalsdorf are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ SV Lafnitz, D 1-1 v Weiz, W 2-1 @ Gleisdorf 09, W 5-2 v Allerheiligen.
The market prices SV at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on SV Lafnitz: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
