AS Marsa v ES Sahel: the model read
AS Marsa meet ES Sahel in the Ligue 1 regular season - 4 at Abdelaziz Chtioui Stadium, La Marsa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 48%. Attacking output favors ES Sahel on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
AS Marsa arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v ES Sahel, L 1-2 @ ES Tunis, D 0-0 v Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, L 0-1 @ CA Bizertin.
ES Sahel are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ AS Marsa, D 1-1 v Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, W 2-1 v ES Metlaoui, L 2-3 @ ES Tunis.
ES Sahel hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AS Marsa 1-0 ES Sahel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
