Where the market is wrong on Kimberley Mar del Plata v Alvarado
Kimberley Mar del Plata meet Alvarado in the Torneo Federal A winners stage - 6 at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle, Mar del Plata.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alvarado, 70% against 55%. Attacking output favors Alvarado on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Kimberley Mar del Plata arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Alvarado, L 0-1 @ Olimpo Bahia Blanca, W 3-1 v Cipolletti, L 1-2 @ Atenas.
Alvarado are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Kimberley Mar del Plata, D 1-1 v Argentino Monte Maíz, D 0-0 @ Villa Mitre, W 1-0 v Huracan Las Heras.
Alvarado hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kimberley Mar del Plata 0-2 Alvarado.
The market prices KIM at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Alvarado: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
