Estrela v Lusitano Évora 1911: the model read
Estrela meet Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 32% EST, 34% draw, 34% LUS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1406 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lusitano Évora 1911, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Estrela on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Lusitano Évora 1911 at 51%; double chance reads Estrela or draw 66%, Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw 68%.
Estrela arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Nacional, L 1-2 v Casa Pia, W 2-0 v Naval 1893, D 2-2 @ SC Braga.
Lusitano Évora 1911 are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benfica B, L 0-1 v Atlético CP, W 2-1 @ Amora, W 1-0 v SC Covilha.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
