Al Riyadh v Al-Gharafa: the model read
Al Riyadh meet Al-Gharafa in the Friendlies Clubs club friendly.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Riyadh, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Al Riyadh on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Al Riyadh arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v NEOM, D 3-3 @ Al Shabab, L 0-4 v Al-Nassr, W 2-0 @ Al Zulfi.
Al-Gharafa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al Sadd, L 1-3 v Al Shamal, W 2-1 v Al Shahaniya, D 2-2 @ Al Riyadh.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Riyadh 2-2 Al-Gharafa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
