Where the market is wrong on Hajer v Al Jabalain
Hajer meet Al Jabalain in the Division 1 regular season - 5 at Hajer Club Stadium, Al-Hofuf.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hajer, 70% against 55%. Attacking output favors Hajer on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Hajer arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Al Jabalain, D 0-0 @ Al Zulfi, D 1-1 v Al Anwar, W 3-2 @ Al-Raed.
Al Jabalain are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Hajer, D 0-0 v Al Wehda Club, D 1-1 @ Al Najma, W 1-0 v Al Jeel.
The market prices HAJ at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Hajer: a 17.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
