Samtredia v Saburtalo: the model read
Samtredia meet Saburtalo in the David Kipiani Cup round of 16. The model makes Saburtalo the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 26% SAM, 28% draw, 46% SAB.
Saburtalo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1408. Recent form leans Saburtalo, 63% against 35%. Attacking output favors Saburtalo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Saburtalo at 63%; double chance reads Samtredia or draw 54%, Saburtalo or draw 74%.
Samtredia arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Shturmi, L 2-3 @ Sioni, L 1-2 @ Merani Martvili, D 2-2 v Kolkheti Poti.
Saburtalo are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Margveti 2006, L 0-2 v Slovan Bratislava, D 2-2 v Flora Tallinn, W 3-2 @ Flora Tallinn.
Saburtalo hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Samtredia 0-1 Saburtalo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
