Where the market is wrong on Persib Bandung v Tampines Rovers
Persib Bandung meet Tampines Rovers in the Piala Presiden group stage - 1. The model makes Persib Bandung the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% PER, 30% draw, 32% TAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1730 to 1637, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Persib Bandung, 83% against 68%. Attacking output favors Tampines Rovers on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Persib Bandung at 54%; double chance reads Persib Bandung or draw 68%, Tampines Rovers or draw 62%.
Persib Bandung arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ DPMM FC Brunei, W 1-0 v Arema FC, D 0-0 v Persijap, W 2-1 @ PSM Makassar.
Tampines Rovers are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Arema FC, D 2-2 @ DPMM FC Brunei, W 3-2 v Home United, W 1-0 @ Hougang United.
The market prices PER at 71% implied. Our number sits apart on Tampines Rovers: a 19.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
