Persebaya Surabaya v Persija: the model read
Persebaya Surabaya meet Persija in the Piala Presiden group stage - 2. The model makes Persija the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% PER, 30% draw, 36% PER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 68%. Attacking output favors Persebaya Surabaya on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Persija at 52%; double chance reads Persebaya Surabaya or draw 64%, Persija or draw 66%.
Persebaya Surabaya arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 15 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Persija, D 2-2 v PSIS Semarang, W 5-0 v Persik Kediri, W 7-0 @ Semen Padang.
Persija are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Persebaya Surabaya, W 3-0 v Semen Padang, W 3-1 @ Persik Kediri, L 1-2 v Persib Bandung.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
