Where the market is wrong on Satun v Muangthong United
Satun meet Muangthong United in the Thai League 2 regular season - 3.
Satun rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1598 to 1420. Recent form leans Satun, 61% against 38%. Attacking output favors Satun on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.
Satun arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Muangthong United, W 3-1 @ Songkhla, L 2-4 v Kanchanaburi, L 0-2 v Lamphun Warrior.
Muangthong United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Satun, W 2-1 v Nong Bua Pitchaya, D 0-0 @ Uttaradit, L 0-3 @ Sukhothai FC.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Satun 3-0 Muangthong United.
The market prices SAT at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Satun: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output