Kustosija v HNK Zadar: the model read
Kustosija meet HNK Zadar in the Cup round of 64 at Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb. The model makes HNK Zadar the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% KUS, 31% draw, 37% HNK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans HNK Zadar, 73% against 63%. Attacking output favors HNK Zadar on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans HNK Zadar at 53%; double chance reads Kustosija or draw 63%, HNK Zadar or draw 68%.
Kustosija arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Dubrava Zagreb, W 4-1 v Krka, L 1-3 @ NK Varazdin, D 3-3 @ Mladost Ždralovi.
HNK Zadar are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Primorac Biograd, W 5-1 v Neretvanac Opuzen, W 1-0 @ Junak, W 2-1 v GOŠK Dubrovnik.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
