Benevento v Cesena: the model read
Benevento meet Cesena in the Serie B regular season - 6 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. The model makes Benevento the most likely outcome at 57%, with the full read 57% BEN, 25% draw, 18% CES.
Benevento rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1400. Recent form leans Benevento, 80% against 30%. Attacking output favors Benevento on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Benevento at 76%; double chance reads Benevento or draw 82%, Cesena or draw 43%.
Benevento arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Ostia Mare, W 4-1 @ Vicenza Virtus, W 1-0 v Arezzo, D 2-2 v Audace Cerignola.
Cesena are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Padova, D 0-0 @ Carrarese, D 0-0 v Sampdoria, L 0-2 @ Palermo.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2017: Cesena 4-1 Benevento.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
