Where the market is wrong on AD Carmelita v Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
AD Carmelita meet Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC in the Liga de Ascenso regular season - 6.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1560 to 1400. Recent form leans Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, 58% against 32%. Attacking output favors Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
AD Carmelita arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, L 1-2 v Aserri FC, W 1-0 @ Guadalupe FC, D 1-1 v Futbol Consultants Moravia.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ AD Carmelita, W 2-0 v Santa Ana, D 1-1 @ Aserri FC, W 2-1 v CS Uruguay.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AD Carmelita 1-2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
The market prices AD at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: a 16.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
