Where the market is wrong on Lazio W v Parma W
Lazio W meet Parma W in the Serie A Women regular season - 1 at Campo Mirko Fersini, Rome.
Lazio W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Lazio W, 53% against 23%. Attacking output favors Lazio W on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
Lazio W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Parma W, L 1-3 @ Inter Milano W, W 2-0 v Parma W, W 4-2 v Napoli W.
Parma W are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Lazio W, L 0-1 @ Napoli W, L 0-2 @ Lazio W, L 0-1 v Inter Milano W.
Lazio W hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lazio W 0-0 Parma W.
The market prices LAZ at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
