Where the market is wrong on IFK Östersund v Boden
IFK Östersund meet Boden in the Division 2 - Norrland norrland - promotion round.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans IFK Östersund, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors IFK Östersund on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
IFK Östersund arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Boden, L 1-2 @ Täfteå, W 4-0 v Gottne, W 5-0 v Skellefteå.
Boden are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ IFK Östersund, L 0-2 v Skellefteå, W 1-0 v IFK Luleå, L 1-6 @ Kubikenborg.
Boden hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IFK Östersund 2-0 Boden.
The market prices IFK at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Boden: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
