Azam v Simba: the model read
Azam meet Simba in the Ligi kuu Bara regular season - 6 at Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam.
Simba rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1834 to 1707. Recent form leans Simba, 95% against 78%. Attacking output favors Simba on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
Azam arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Simba, W 2-0 v Namungo, W 2-0 @ Kagera Sugar, D 2-2 @ Geita Gold.
Simba are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Azam, W 6-1 v Be Forward Wanderers, W 1-0 @ Be Forward Wanderers, W 2-0 v Geita Gold.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Azam 0-2 Simba.
The market prices AZA at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
