Where the market is wrong on Firpo v Águila
Firpo meet Águila in the Primera Division apertura - 12.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 53%. Attacking output favors Firpo on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Firpo arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Águila, D 0-0 v Cacahuatique, W 3-1 v Atletico Balboa, L 0-3 @ CD Olimpia.
Águila are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Firpo, W 1-0 @ Platense, W 3-1 v Inca Aruba, D 0-0 @ Municipal Limeño.
Firpo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Firpo 2-0 Águila.
The market prices FIR at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Águila: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
