Sligo Rovers v Kerry: the model read
Sligo Rovers meet Kerry in the FAI Cup round of 16 at Showgrounds, Sligo. The model makes Kerry the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 31% SLI, 31% draw, 38% KER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kerry, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Sligo Rovers on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Kerry at 55%; double chance reads Sligo Rovers or draw 62%, Kerry or draw 69%.
Sligo Rovers arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Drogheda United, W 4-0 @ Janesboro, L 1-2 v Coleraine FC, L 2-3 @ Galway United.
Kerry are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Finn Harps, D 2-2 v Shelbourne, D 2-2 @ Wexford, L 1-2 @ Treaty United.
Kerry hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Kerry 4-3 Sligo Rovers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
