Guimaraes v União de Leiria: the model read
Guimaraes meet União de Leiria in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes União de Leiria the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% GUI, 29% draw, 36% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1514 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors União de Leiria on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans União de Leiria at 50%; double chance reads Guimaraes or draw 64%, União de Leiria or draw 65%.
Guimaraes arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Nottingham Forest, W 3-1 @ Al-Ahli Jeddah, W 2-0 v Academica, W 5-0 v Penafiel.
União de Leiria are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Las Palmas, W 2-0 v AD Marco 09, L 0-1 v Alverca, D 2-2 v Feirense.
Guimaraes hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Guimaraes 2-0 União de Leiria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
