Where the market is wrong on Guimaraes B v Trofense
Guimaraes B meet Trofense in the Liga 3 regular season - 4 at Academia Vitoria SC, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guimaraes B, 53% against 30%. Attacking output favors Guimaraes B on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.5 per match.
Guimaraes B arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trofense, D 1-1 @ Fafe, W 2-0 v Leça, L 1-3 @ Paredes.
Trofense are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Guimaraes B, L 1-5 @ Varzim, W 1-0 v São João Ver, L 0-2 @ Vianense.
Trofense hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guimaraes B 0-0 Trofense.
The market prices GUI at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output