Where the market is wrong on Bath City v Uxbridge
Bath City meet Uxbridge in the Non League Premier - Southern South regular season - 5 at Twerton Park, Bath.
Uxbridge rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1408. Recent form leans Uxbridge, 73% against 35%. Attacking output favors Uxbridge on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.1 per match.
Bath City arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Frome Town, L 1-2 v Uxbridge, D 1-1 @ Basingstoke Town, W 1-0 v Hanworth Villa.
Uxbridge are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Wimborne Town, W 2-1 @ Bath City, W 5-4 v Taunton Town, D 1-1 @ Gosport Borough.
Uxbridge hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bath City 1-2 Uxbridge.
The market prices BAT at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Uxbridge: a 27.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
