Where the market is wrong on Racing Club Warwick v Stratford Town
Racing Club Warwick meet Stratford Town in the Non League Premier - Southern Central regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Racing Club Warwick, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Stratford Town on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Racing Club Warwick at 56%; double chance reads Racing Club Warwick or draw 70%, Stratford Town or draw 62%.
Racing Club Warwick arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Alvechurch, D 1-1 v Hitchin Town, W 2-1 @ Stamford, L 1-2 @ Banbury United.
Stratford Town are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Needham Market, L 1-6 @ Real Bedford, L 1-3 v Bury Town, D 0-0 v Redditch United.
The market prices RAC at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
