Where the market is wrong on Lucko v Zagora
Lucko meet Zagora in the Second NL regular season - 6.
Zagora rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans Zagora, 73% against 25%. Attacking output favors Zagora on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.0 per match.
Lucko arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Zagora, L 0-1 v Dugo Selo, D 2-2 @ Uljanik, L 0-1 v Solin.
Zagora are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Lucko, W 5-0 v Uljanik, D 1-1 @ Solin, L 0-4 v NK Varazdin.
Zagora hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lucko 1-3 Zagora.
The market prices LUC at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Zagora: a 26.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 87 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
