Where the market is wrong on Pharco v El Mansura
Pharco meet El Mansura in the Second League regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans El Mansura, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors El Mansura on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 10%, over 2.5 goals around 5%. Draw no bet leans El Mansura at 56%; double chance reads Pharco or draw 66%, El Mansura or draw 74%.
Pharco arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v El Mansura, W 1-0 @ Proxy, W 2-1 @ Ismaily SC, L 0-1 v National Bank of Egypt.
El Mansura are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Pharco, W 2-1 v Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, D 1-1 @ Tanta SC, D 1-1 v Asyut Petrol.
Pharco hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pharco 2-0 El Mansura.
The market prices PHA at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on El Mansura: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
