Newcastle Jets v Macarthur: the model read
Newcastle Jets meet Macarthur in the A-League regular season - 2 at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle. The model makes Newcastle Jets the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% NEW, 26% draw, 26% MAC.
Newcastle Jets rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1468. Recent form leans Newcastle Jets, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Newcastle Jets on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans Newcastle Jets at 66%; double chance reads Newcastle Jets or draw 74%, Macarthur or draw 51%.
Newcastle Jets arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Preston Lions, D 1-1 v Sydney, D 1-1 @ Sydney, W 4-0 v Central Coast Mariners.
Macarthur are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Wellington Phoenix, L 1-3 @ Adelaide United, L 1-3 @ Perth Glory, W 3-2 v Newcastle Jets.
Macarthur hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Macarthur 3-2 Newcastle Jets.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
