ABC v Luverdense: the model read
ABC meet Luverdense in the Serie D round of 16. The model makes ABC the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% ABC, 31% draw, 26% LUV.
ABC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1523. Recent form leans ABC, 75% against 55%. Attacking output favors ABC on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans ABC at 63%; double chance reads ABC or draw 74%, Luverdense or draw 57%.
ABC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Luverdense, D 0-0 @ Luverdense, W 3-0 v Águia de Marabá, L 1-2 @ Águia de Marabá.
Luverdense are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ ABC, D 0-0 v ABC, D 0-0 @ Guaporé, W 1-0 v Guaporé.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
