A single second-half goal decided this low-key friendly as Radnicki 1923 edged IMT Novi Beograd 1-0. The Lemeister model had entered the match assessing a draw as the most probable outcome at 38 per cent, making the final scoreline a narrow deviation from the pre-match projection. The model gave Radnicki 1923 a 29 per cent chance of victory, suggesting the home side slightly overperformed relative to expectations, while IMT Novi Beograd's 34 per cent win probability meant they fell just short of the anticipated balance.
The only goal of the contest arrived in the 88th minute. A. Jelic found the net for Radnicki 1923, converting what was recorded as a normal goal without an assist. The timing of the strike, so deep into the contest, meant IMT Novi Beograd had little opportunity to mount a response, with only a couple of minutes remaining in regulation time. The goal came from open play rather than a set piece or penalty, but no further detail is available on how it was constructed or which players were involved in the build-up.
Neither side generated any statistical output to speak of. The match data contains no entries for possession, shots, expected goals, passes, corners, saves or cards. This absence of numbers makes it impossible to assess how either team controlled the game or created chances. The single goal, therefore, stands as the only meaningful event in the record. Without shot counts or expected goals, there is no way to determine whether the victory was deserved on the balance of play or whether IMT Novi Beograd had opportunities they failed to convert.
Without any match ratings to draw upon, individual performances cannot be evaluated beyond the identity of the scorer. A. Jelic, as the only nameable player in the data, will take credit for deciding the encounter. The match featured no substitutions or cards, suggesting a disciplined if uneventful affair. The absence of cards indicates neither side resorted to tactical fouling or excessive aggression, which is typical for early pre-season friendlies where fitness takes precedence over competitive intensity.
The result gives Radnicki 1923 a winning start to their friendly preparations, providing a psychological boost as they build toward the new season. For IMT Novi Beograd, the narrow defeat offers a competitive test despite the lack of statistical detail, and the closeness of the scoreline suggests they were not outclassed. The Lemeister model's pre-match read, which saw a draw as the most likely outcome, aligns with the tight nature of the contest, even if the final result tipped narrowly in the home side's favour.
Both sides will likely view this as a useful warm-up exercise, with fitness and match rhythm taking precedence over the final scoreline in these early friendlies. The absence of any underlying data, however, leaves significant gaps in understanding how the game actually unfolded. Without possession figures, shot counts or passing accuracy, analysts and supporters are left with little more than the bare result and the identity of the scorer. In the context of Friendlies Clubs, this match serves primarily as a building block for both squads, with the result holding limited weight in the broader scheme of their preparations. The narrow margin and late winner underscore the even nature of the contest, but the lack of recorded statistics means any deeper tactical analysis must await future matches where more comprehensive data is available.
