Where the market is wrong on Chorley v Spalding United
Chorley meet Spalding United in the National League - North national league north - 10 at Victory Park, Chorley.
Spalding United rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1456. Recent form leans Spalding United, 63% against 42%. Attacking output favors Spalding United on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.
Chorley arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Spalding United, W 1-0 @ Rylands, L 0-2 @ King's Lynn Town, W 5-2 v Darlington 1883.
Spalding United are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Chorley, W 2-0 v Hanley Town, W 2-1 v Bedford Town, W 3-1 @ Spennymoor Town.
Chorley hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chorley 2-1 Spalding United.
The market prices CHO at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Spalding United: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
