Chorley v Chester: the model read
Chorley meet Chester in the National League - North national league north - 1 at Victory Park, Chorley. The model makes Chester the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 24% CHO, 32% draw, 44% CHE.
Chester rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1400. Recent form leans Chester, 68% against 33%. Attacking output favors Chester on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Chester at 65%; double chance reads Chorley or draw 56%, Chester or draw 76%.
Chorley arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Accrington ST, D 0-0 v Altrincham, L 1-2 v Bury, L 0-1 @ Bamber Bridge.
Chester are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Hyde United, L 0-1 v Stoke City U21, W 2-0 @ Warrington Town, L 0-2 @ Fleetwood Town.
Chorley hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chester 3-3 Chorley.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output