Where the market is wrong on Hamburger SV II v St. Pauli II
Hamburger SV II meet St. Pauli II in the Regionalliga - Nord north - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 29% against 37%. Attacking output favors St. Pauli II on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Hamburger SV II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v St. Pauli II, L 0-4 @ Weiche Flensburg, W 3-1 @ SSV Jeddeloh, L 0-2 v Eintracht Norderstedt.
St. Pauli II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Hamburger SV II, W 5-0 v Eintracht Norderstedt, L 2-3 @ Hannover 96 II, D 2-2 v Phönix Lübeck.
Hamburger SV II hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hamburger SV II 0-3 St. Pauli II.
The market prices HAM at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on St. Pauli II: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
