Where the market is wrong on Walter Ferretti v UNAN Managua
Walter Ferretti meet UNAN Managua in the Primera Division apertura - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans UNAN Managua, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors UNAN Managua on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans UNAN Managua at 56%; double chance reads Walter Ferretti or draw 61%, UNAN Managua or draw 69%.
Walter Ferretti arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v UNAN Managua, W 3-1 @ Rancho Santana, L 1-4 @ Real Estelí, W 4-1 v Matagalpa.
UNAN Managua are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Walter Ferretti, W 2-1 v Jalapa, W 1-0 @ San Marcos, D 1-1 @ Diriangén.
Walter Ferretti hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Walter Ferretti 0-1 UNAN Managua.
The market prices WAL at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on UNAN Managua: a 16.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
