Willem II v Jong AZ: the model read
Willem II meet Jong AZ in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% WIL, 28% draw, 25% JON.
Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1698 to 1535. Recent form leans Willem II, 76% against 53%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 65%; double chance reads Willem II or draw 75%, Jong AZ or draw 53%.
Willem II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v KV Mechelen, D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam.
Jong AZ are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Quick Boys, W 3-2 @ Sparta Rotterdam II, W 3-0 v Jong Ajax, W 3-1 v FC Volendam.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Willem II 3-0 Jong AZ.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output