Where the market is wrong on Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir meet Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig regular season - 3 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 60%. Attacking output favors Başakşehir on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Başakşehir arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Kasımpaşa, L 1-2 @ Trabzonspor, W 2-0 v Kocaelispor, L 0-2 @ Inter Turku.
Kasımpaşa are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Başakşehir, W 1-0 @ Çorum FK, D 1-1 v Trabzonspor, W 3-0 v Samsunspor.
Başakşehir hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Başakşehir 1-1 Kasımpaşa.
The market prices BAŞ at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Kasımpaşa: a 14.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
