Where the market is wrong on MSV Duisburg v Würzburger Kickers
MSV Duisburg meet Würzburger Kickers in the 3. Liga regular season - 3 at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Würzburger Kickers, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors Würzburger Kickers on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.9 per match.
MSV Duisburg arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Würzburger Kickers, L 1-3 v SV Elversberg, W 4-2 @ Verl, W 3-0 v SV Meppen.
Würzburger Kickers are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ MSV Duisburg, L 1-2 v 1. FC Köln, W 4-0 v SV Wehen, D 2-2 @ FC Ingolstadt 04.
MSV Duisburg hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: MSV Duisburg 3-0 Würzburger Kickers.
The market prices MSV at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Würzburger Kickers: a 29.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
