Where the market is wrong on Velež v Radnik Bijeljina
Velež meet Radnik Bijeljina in the Premijer Liga regular season - 5 at Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Velež, 45% against 28%. Attacking output favors Velež on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.5 per match.
Velež arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Radnik Bijeljina, L 0-3 @ Čelik, W 2-0 v Sloga Doboj, L 0-2 @ BSK Banja Luka.
Radnik Bijeljina are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Velež, D 2-2 v Borac Banja Luka, L 1-2 @ Siroki Brijeg, L 1-5 v Zrinjski.
Velež hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Velež 1-1 Radnik Bijeljina.
The market prices VEL at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
