Saxon Sports v FC Thun: the model read
Saxon Sports meet FC Thun in the Schweizer Cup round of 64. The model makes FC Thun the most likely outcome at 54%, with the full read 21% SAX, 24% draw, 54% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Thun, 50% against 0%. Attacking output favors FC Thun on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans FC Thun at 72%; double chance reads Saxon Sports or draw 46%, FC Thun or draw 79%.
Saxon Sports arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-3L from their last five (0/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Le Locle Sports, L 0-2 v Meyrin, L 2-4 v Spiez.
FC Thun are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Dinamo Zagreb, W 3-1 @ FC Luzern, D 1-1 v Dinamo Zagreb, L 1-2 v Waldhof Mannheim.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
