Where the market is wrong on Sparta Brno v Chotebor
Sparta Brno meet Chotebor in the 4. liga - Divizie D group d - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors Sparta Brno on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Sparta Brno at 57%; double chance reads Sparta Brno or draw 68%, Chotebor or draw 58%.
Sparta Brno arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-9 v Baník Ostrava, W 2-0 v Chotebor, D 1-1 @ Žďár nad Sázavou, W 2-0 v Sokol Lanžhot.
Chotebor are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sparta Brno, D 2-2 v Bystrc Kníničky, L 1-6 v Vsetín, L 1-8 @ Kuřim.
Sparta Brno hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sparta Brno 2-0 Chotebor.
The market prices SPA at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Chotebor: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output