Where the market is wrong on Veles v FC Sochi
Veles meet FC Sochi in the First League regular season - 11 at Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors FC Sochi on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Veles arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v FC Sochi, L 0-1 @ Murom, D 1-1 @ FC UFA, W 1-0 @ Tekstilshchik.
FC Sochi are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Veles, L 0-2 @ Dinamo St. Petersburg, L 0-1 v Nizhny Novgorod, W 2-1 v Chelyabinsk.
FC Sochi hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Veles 1-2 FC Sochi.
The market prices VEL at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Veles: a 8.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
