Petone v Napier City Rovers: the model read
Petone meet Napier City Rovers in the Chatham Cup round of 16. The model makes Napier City Rovers the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 26% PET, 25% draw, 49% NAP.
Napier City Rovers rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1408. Recent form leans Napier City Rovers, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors Napier City Rovers on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Napier City Rovers at 66%; double chance reads Petone or draw 51%, Napier City Rovers or draw 74%.
Petone arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Napier City Rovers, D 2-2 v Miramar, L 1-5 @ Napier City Rovers, W 5-0 v Island Bay United.
Napier City Rovers are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 16 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Hibiscus Coast, W 4-0 @ Petone, L 0-1 @ Wellington Olympic, W 5-1 v Petone.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
